A particle moves between three states, , , and , according to a Markov chain. The transition matrix is:
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A particle moves between three states, , , and , according to a Markov chain. The transition matrix is:
John likes to go sailing every day in July. To help him make a decision on whether it is safe to go sailing he classifies each day in July as windy or calm. Given that a day in July is calm, the probability that the next day is calm is $0.9$. Given that a day in July is windy, the probability that the next day is calm is $0.3$. The weather forecast for 1 July predicts that the probability that it will be calm is $0.8$.
The day-to-day lunch choice of a student is modelled by the transition matrix , where the states are Cafeteria and Food Truck in that order. The eigenvalues of are and . If the student chooses the Cafeteria on one day, the probability of choosing the Food Truck the next day is . If the student chooses the Food Truck, the probability of choosing the Cafeteria the next day is .
The day-to-day travel choice of a commuter is modelled by the transition matrix , where the states are Bridge and Tunnel in that order. The eigenvalues of are and . If the commuter uses the Bridge on one day, the probability of using the Tunnel the next day is . If the commuter uses the Tunnel, the probability of using the Bridge the next day is .
The status of a library copy of a popular novel at the end of each week is modelled by the transition matrix , where the states are On shelf and On loan in that order. The eigenvalues of are and . If the book is On shelf in one week, the probability of being On loan the next week is . If the book is On loan, the probability of being On shelf the next week is .
Practice IB Mathematics Applications & Interpretation (AI) Topic AHL 4.19—transition Matrices – Markov Chains with authentic exam-style questions for both SL and HL students. This question bank focuses on the exact syllabus content for AHL 4.19—transition Matrices – Markov Chains and mirrors Paper 1, 2, 3 style where relevant.
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the eigenvalues of .
Find the probability that 1 July was calm given that 3 July is windy.